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Daily Security Overview 20 March 2014

20-3-14During the day, total four incidents related to anti-state violence were reported in which three persons were killed and two others were injured. All the deaths and injuries of the day were associated with three militant activities, two in Sindh and one in Peshawar. The said two activities in Sindh were reported from Orangi Town and Korangi Industrial Area in Karachi. In the former, in a physical assault a police officer and a civilian were killed in firing on police vehicle while in case of latter, a police inspector and his driver were killed in an incident of targeted killing. Militant activity in KP was reported from Marvi House area in Peshawar where a house was attacked with hand grenade but no damage was reported. Only Security forces action of the day was reported from Baluchistan (Quetta), where FC and police conducted a joint search operation in Zarghoon Abad area and arrested 28 suspected militants in addition to recovering heavy ammunition and stolen motorcycles from their possession.

As depicted in the graph, number of militant activities and number of casualties are showing a consistent pattern for the last five days barring a single day when no such activity was reported. It is not clear whether trend presents a strategic shift or merely a usual silence before the storm. Another more compelling connotation could be a resultant situation from “wait and see” policy on the part of militants. Apparently, anti-talks forces are waiting for moves of pro-talk forces as well as of the government to provide them a space to maneuver instead of creating opportunities at their own. Moreover, anti-talks forces and their mentors would never like a clear demarcation and direct confrontation between them and proponent of peace talks among Pakistani Taliban. Obviously, insurgents in Baluchistan seem to be hardly affected directly by these developments at least at this point in time.

By previously attacking Qaid-e-Azam’s residency in Ziarat Balochistan and recently attacking communication and energy infrastructure in Southern Punjab, Baluchistan Republican Army has not only highlighted intensity as well as nature of insurgency but also its expansionist designs that looming threat of attacking Minar-e-Pakistan in Lahore, as reported in Daily Situation Report of 19 March 2014, seems to be real and a testimony of insurgents thinking process.

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